Work plan and division of work packages between the partners

• Work Package 1: North Sea System Description
• Work Package 2: North Sea System Modelling
• Work Package 3: Past and Present Response & Informed Proxies
• Work Package 4: Future Scenarios
• Work Package 5: Project Management

Duration of the project

01.01.2009 – 31.12.2011

Milestones

Work Package 1
M1.1	Month 12 (WP 1) - Completion of time series analyses of climate-related long-term ecosystem change for ecosystem analyses in WP 3
M1.2	Month 12 (WP 1) - Data set describing ecophysiological tolerances and optima to abiotic factors for key species and assemblages (phyto, zooplankton and fish) for ecosystem analyses in WP 3
M1.3	Month 12 (WP 1) - Database on key trophic links (phyto, zooplankton, and fish) for ecosystem analyses in WP 3
Work Package 2
M2.1	Month 9 (WP2) - Validated decadal runs with hydrodynamic models and available for ecosystem analyses in WP 3
M2.2	Month 12 (WP2) - Modelled data available on lower trophic levels (NPZD) from validated decadal runs and available for ecosystem analyses in WP 3
M2.3	Month 12 (WP 2) - Age-specific abundance estimates of commercially exploited fish species from Multispecies Model available for ecosystem analyses in WP 3
Work Package 3
M3.1	Month 16 (WP 3) - Analyses on structural ecosystem changes completed
M3.2	Month 20 (WP 3) - Analyses on relative importance of pressures and processes acting on foodweb structure completed
M3.3	Month 24 (WP 3) - Informed proxies for key ecosystem components available for scenario predictions in WP 4
Work Package 4
M4.1	Month 18 (WP 4) - IPCC scenario (A2, B1) driven hydrodynamic model runs
M4.2	Month 24 (WP 4) - Eutrophication scenarios using ECOHAM4 based on IPCC driven hydrodynamic model runs
M4.3	Month 24 (WP 4) - Multispecies prediction of commercially exploited fish stock abundance using predictive hydrodynamic model runs
M4.4	Month 30 (WP 4) - Scenario forecasts on future ecosystem structure based on informed proxies, predictive hydrodynamic, NPZD and Multispecies Model runs completed
M4.5	Month 33(WP 4) - Project Synthesis completed
Work Package 5
M5.1	Month 2 (WP 5) - Project Kick Off meeting
M5.2	Month 4 (WP 5) -Project website installed
M5.3	Month 6 (WP 5) - Expert workshop
M5.4	Month 34 (WP5) - International Conference on Drivers of Ecosystem Change (in collaboration with other funded MarinEra project(s)
M5.5	Month 36 (WP5) - Final Project Report finalised
M5.6	Month 12, 18, 24, 32 and 36 (WP 5) - Steering Committee and annual meetings

Deliverables

Work Package 1
D1.1	Month 16 (WP 1) - Report on climate-related long-term ecosystem change based upon time series analyses
D1.2	Month 16 (WP 1) - Report describing ecophysiological tolerances and optima to abiotic factors for key species and assemblages (phyto-, zooplankton and fish)
D1.3	Month 16 (WP 1) - Report on key trophic links acting within the North Sea Ecosystem (phyto, zooplankton, and fish)
Work Package 2
D2.1	Month 12 (WP 2) - Report on decadal hydrodynamic model runs
D2.2	Month 16 (WP 2) - Report on decadal NPZD-model runs
D2.3	Month 16 (WP 2) - Report on Multispecies Model runs
Work Package 3
D3.1	Month 20 (WP 3) - Report on structural ecosystem changes
D3.2	Month 24 (WP 3) - Report on relative importance of pressures and processes acting of foodweb structure
D3.3	Month 30 (WP3) - Report on creation of informed proxies for key ecosystem components
Work Package 4
D4.1	Month 21 (WP 4) - Report on IPCC scenarion (A2, B1) driven hydrodynamic model runs
D4.2	Month 27 (WP 4) - Report on eutrophication scenarios using ECOHAM4 based on IPCC driven hydrodynamic model runs
D4.3	Month 27 (WP 4) - Report on multispecies prediction of commercially exploited fish stock abundance using predictive hydrodynamic model runs
D4.4	Month 33 (WP 4) - Report on scenario forecasts on future ecosystem structure based on informed proxies, predictive hydrodynamic, NPZD and Multispecies Model runs
D4.5	Month 36 (WP 4) - Project Synthesis Report
Work Package 5
D5.1	Month 2 (WP 5) - Organisation of Kick-off meeting
D5.2	Month 2 (WP 5) - Organisation of Steering Committee and Informal Cluster Meetings with other MarinEra projects
D5.3	Month 34 (WP5) - Organisation of International Conference on "Drivers of Marine Ecosystem Change"
D5.4	Month 36 (WP 5) - Final Project Report
D5.5	Month 12 and 24 (WP 5) - Annual progress reports to EU Commission and national funding agencies.